Estimating the abundance of long-lived, migratory animals is challenging but essential for managing populations. We provide the first abundance estimates of endangered humpback whales Megaptera novaeangliae from their breeding grounds in Oceania, South Pacific. Using fluke photo-identification (1999−2004, n = 660 individuals) and microsatellite genotypes (1999−2005, n = 840 individuals), we estimated abundance with open capture-recapture statistical models. Total Oceania abundance and trends were estimated from 4 primary and 5 secondary sampling sites across the region. Sex-specific genotype data enabled us to account for the difference in capturability of males and females, by doubling male-specific estimates of abundance derived from genotypes. Abundance estimates were congruent between primary- and secondary-region data sets, suggesting that the primary regions are representative of all Oceania. The best estimate of total abundance was 4329 whales (3345−5313) in 2005, from a sex-specific POPAN super-population model, which includes resident whales and those migrating through the surveyed areas. A doubled-male POPAN abundance estimate from 2003 (n = 2941, 95% CI = 1648−4234) was considered the most plausible for the 4 primary survey areas and was similar to the 2003 doubled-male estimate derived from Pradel capture probabilities (n = 2952, 95% CI = 2043−4325). Our results confirm that Oceania is the least abundant humpback whale breeding population in the southern hemisphere. Pradel models showed no significant trend in abundance, which contradicts the recovery seen in most other populations throughout the world. Thus we suggest that the whales in this area warrant continued study and management attention.
Robin Roberts, anchor on ABC News’ Good Morning America, spoke yesterday to students in Wallis Annenberg Hall about diversity in the Oscars and her thoughts on the changing journalism industry. Willow Bay, director of the Annenberg School for Communication and Journalism, moderated the hour-long conversation and introduced Roberts as “one of the most accomplished and successful journalists of our time.”Roberts is in Los Angeles this week because she will be hosting the red carpet pre-Oscars special on ABC at 4 p.m. on Sunday. Bay began the discussion by asking Roberts what she thought about the hashtag, “#OscarsSoWhite”, which is currently trending on social media. Some actors are refusing to watch and support the Oscars, which Roberts said has brought up real diversity issues within the Academy structure,“Currently, the Academy membership is 94 percent caucasian and 77 percent male,” Roberts said. “They’re most likely going to have the same thoughts. I doubt many of them even saw Straight Outta Compton. Maybe it’s time that we have a little bit of a fresher perspective. They are changing how you become a member of the Academy, and they’re going to change the voting process.”Roberts encouraged the audience to continue the diversity conversation after the Oscars are over.“It can’t just be over on Monday,” Roberts said. “It’s our responsibility, if we’re serious about it. It’s continuing the conversation. How do you do it? By being patient and persistent.”Speaking of patience and persistence, Roberts commented on her longevity in the industry. Roberts joked that she’s only at first base, and she has a long way to go until she reaches the dugout.“I’m very comfortable and confident in what I’m able to bring to ABC News and Good Morning America in particular. I’m grateful that I started as a general assignment reporter, then became a news anchor, then a co-anchor and now the senior anchor on that program,” Roberts said. “I believe that I do a good job of making sure I can stay current with what’s going on, but I love the fact that I have this wealth of experience.”Roberts was born in Alabama, grew up in Mississippi and attended Southeastern Louisiana University. She also lived in Turkey for a short period of time while her father, a Tuskegee Airman, was stationed there.“My father was in the military, and we traveled all around the world,” Roberts said. “It was wonderful that my parents exposed us to these different cultures. All of this makes me who I am as a journalist, and that’s why it’s so important to have people from different backgrounds.”Roberts has worked in entertainment and sports journalism, but she has no interest in entering the political arena.“Not just ‘no,’ but ‘hell no!’” Roberts said when asked whether or not she would ever be a political journalist. “Can’t we all just get along? Again, I don’t want everybody to be in agreement. But these personal attacks … Why can’t a candidate just state their position without ripping apart who they’re running against?”Roberts admitted that as a young adult she did not want to be a journalist at all. She dreamed of being a professional athlete. Although her athletic ability paid for her college education, she realized that she didn’t have the skill be a professional basketball player. Her older sister encouraged her to combine her passion for sports with her interest in journalism. Roberts ended up working at ESPN for 15 years before joining Good Morning America.“I used to dream as a little kid in Mississippi with my little afro puffs that I would be a Wimbledon one day,” Roberts said. “And that I would curtsey on that hot, steamy court, and I would eat my strawberries and cream. I made it there, not with a tennis racket in my hand, but with an ESPN microphone. I made it to Wimbledon. Your dreams may not look like you think they’re going to look, but they mean every bit as much.”
The same for Nelson City Soccer Adult Leagues.Tuesday the Leo’s Men’s Open captured center stage before the Finley’s Ladies Rec played its first games Wednesday.Thursday, Jackson’s Hole Men’s Masters were on the pitch.On the Nelson Rep circuit, teams are off to Sandpoint to compete in a tournament Saturday and Sunday while mini leagues takeover the waterfront fields Saturday. The Lakeside Pitches are once again busy from the summer hiatus as roundball gears up for the second half of the 2013 campaign.This week Nelson Youth Soccer players kicked off the Canada Geese to for training and games as the season comes to a close in October.
-30- Joseph Talamo16624172314%39%$838,443 ADVANCE WAGERING TODAY ON SATURDAY’S DUBAI WORLD CUPThere is advance wagering on races three through nine today on Saturday’s Dubai World Cup program. Early bird wagering opens at 8:30 a.m. Saturday, with betting available on races seven through nine, the ninth race being the World Cup with an approximate post time of 9:45 a.m.Arrogate, trained by Bob Baffert, drew post position nine in a field of 14. Hoppertunity, also trained by Baffert, has post position 11. Steven Miyadi62817713%52%$403,716 Norberto Arroyo, Jr.10521111020%40%$923,201 ILIAD BREEZES FOR SANTA ANITA DERBYSan Vicente Stakes winner Iliad, one of four possible starters in the Santa Anita Derby for Doug O’Neill, worked five furlongs Friday morning in 1:01.40 for the $1 million, Grade I event on April 8, the West Coast’s major steppingstone to the Kentucky Derby on May 6.Also working for the 1 1/8-mile Santa Anita Derby was San Felipe third-place finisher Term of Art, who went five furlongs under Tyler Baze in 1:01.80.“Both horses went real well,” said O’Neill, who watched the drills with Kaleem Shah, owner of Iliad. “Iliad finished up great and both Kaleem and I thought he showed great energy.”Iliad had jockey Amir Cedeno in the saddle. He worked with Royal Albert Hall who also was clocked in 1:01.40.O’Neill, who won the Santa Anita Derby back-to-back in 2012 and 2013 with I’ll Have Another and Goldencents, also plans to enter California Derby winner So Conflated and California-bred Milton Freewater. So Conflated also worked Friday morning, going four furlongs in 52.80. William Spawr32114534%63%$347,000 SAN LUIS REY DISTANCE SUITS FLAMBOYANTMarathon turf specialist Flamboyant, who has run 23 of his 25 career races on grass, will add to those statistics in Saturday’s Grade II, $200,000 San Luis Rey Stakes at a mile and a half on the green.The French-bred son of Peer Gynt trained by Paddy Gallagher for owners Bienstock or Winner was third in the Feb. 4 San Marcos Stakes, his first start in nine weeks.“He seems to be doing well since his last race,” Gallagher said. “He acts like he’ll run OK at a mile and a half. He’s run well at a mile and a quarter.” Flamboyant won the Grade II San Marcos at a mile and a quarter in 2016.Asked if a mile and a half marathon was “a jockey’s race,” Gallagher quipped, “It’s a jockey’s race as long as they have the horse.”Brice Blanc, who rode Flamboyant in this year’s San Marcos, says he could have had better racing luck when beaten just 2 ½ lengths.“I got fanned out, but otherwise had a perfect trip,” said the native of Lyon, France. “The rider inside me kept moving out and pushed me a little bit, but my horse ran well anyway.“It’s going to be tough to beat Ashleyluvssugar, but if Flamboyant takes to the distance, I really have a good shot, I think.”The San Luis Rey, the ninth and final race: Inordinate, Corey Nakatani, 8-1; Power Foot, Kent Desormeaux, 15-1; Flamboyant, Brice Blanc, 6-1; Ashleyluvssugar, Gary Stevens, 5-2; Liam the Charmer, Victor Espinoza, 12-1; Syntax, Rafael Bejarano, 15-1; Buster Douglas, Santiago Gonzalez, 30-1; Papacoolpapacool, Edwin Maldonado, 10-1; Texas Ryano, Joe Talamo, 7-2; Itsinthepost, Tyler Baze, 5-1; Some in Tieme, Tiago Pereira, 30-1; and Site Read, Stewart Elliott, 30-1. Peter Eurton58116719%41%$600,402 James Cassidy4788317%40%$430,916 TOP NOTCH MAKES STAKES DEBUT IN DREAM OF SUMMERTop Notch makes her stakes debut and her first race beyond six and a half furlongs Sunday in the $100,000 Dream of Summer Stakes for older fillies and mares at one mile on the main track, another in the Golden State Series for California-bred or sired runners.Trained by Jeff Bonde for owners/breeders George and Mary Schmitt, Top Notch is a four-year-old chestnut daughter of Old Topper who won her last start, an overnight race at five-and-half furlongs under Edwin Maldonado, who retains the mount Sunday.“She’s a consistent filly and tries hard every time and she should route,” Bonde said. “She’s a big, long-striding filly and training well.”The field: Top Notch, Edwin Maldonado; Skye Diamonds, Tiago Pereira; Time for Ebby, Stewart Elliott; Ashley’s Sassy, Jaime Theriot; Run for Retts, Tyler Baze; Roo’s Valentine, Martin Pedroza; Mizzen Glory, Chantal Sutherland; Sheer Pleasure, Kent Desormeaux; Dressed to a T, Corey Nakatani; and Cuddle Alert, Israel Ocampo. Edwin Maldonado8312101114%40%$386,531 Flavien Prat23552404422%58%$3,313,910 SANTA ANITA STATISTICS Mark Glatt789111312%42%$470,535 JockeyMts1st2nd3rdWin%ITM%Money Won VAN DYKE DUE BACK IN TWO MONTHSDrayden Van Dyke, the nation’s Eclipse Award winner as outstanding apprentice of 2014, is expected to resume riding in two months after recovering from a major injury in a spill at Santa Anita in the fourth race on Jan. 26, suffering “an open break” in which the bone went through the skin on his right forearm.“His cast has been cut down so it’s below the elbow now,” said his agent, Brad Pegram, who also represents the nation’s leading money earner and regular rider of Arrogate, Mike Smith. “Drayden will have that on for three weeks, then it will be replaced with a soft brace that he can take on and off.“He’ll start therapy at that time, so we’re looking at two months from yesterday that he can resume riding, putting us at mid-May. He’s at home in Pasadena, he’s comfortable, he’ll start therapy in a couple weeks and is looking forward to coming back.”A 22-year-old native of Louisville, Kentucky, Van Dyke had five wins, nine seconds and two thirds from 51 mounts, with earnings of $319,786, before his mishap. Tyler Baze25543463217%47%$2,392,202 Corey Nakatani78138917%38%$806,897 Stewart Elliott16118162511%37%$854,293 (Current Through Thursday, March 23) Richard Baltas13022222017%49%$1,265,107 WAGERING FRIDAY ON THE DUBAI WORLD CUP Mike Smith571861432%67%$1,872,172 Kent Desormeaux14630181821%45%$1,733,081 Tiago Pereira11314121712%38%$467,561 Victor Espinoza66917714%50%$779,422 Jamie Theriot81108812%32%$471,365 O’NEILL WORKS ILIAD FOR SANTA ANITA DERBY Luis Contreras8910102311%48%$487,537 Jerry Hollendorfer12526202221%54%$1,708,469 TrainerMts1st2nd3rdWin%ITM%Money Won DRAYDEN VAN DYKE DUE TO RETURN IN MID-MAY FLAMBOYANT SET FOR MARATHON SAN LUIS REY Bob Baffert631581024%52%$1,582,516 Martin Pedroza12016212513%52%$739,697 Santiago Gonzalez1371323179%39%$689,981 Philip D’Amato9319131420%49%$1,244,380 Vladimir Cerin551112920%58%$545,589 LIAM THE CHARMER EYES FIRST STAKES WINVictor Espinoza hopes to pilot Liam the Charmer to his first stakes victory in the San Luis Rey after capturing an overnight race at a mile and a quarter on turf Feb. 9. The lightly raced son of Smart Strike trained by Michael McCarthy for Mr. and Mrs. W.K. Warren Jr. bobbled at the start of his last race but closed from ninth and last to win anyway.“This distance is exactly what he wants,” Espinoza said of Liam the Charmer, bred byRon and Deborah McAnally. “The first time I rode him, at a mile and a sixteenth, it was too short for him (he raced willingly but finished fourth). He came back at a mile and a quarter and it was an ideal distance.“He broke a little slow but still won easy. I think a mile and a half is definitely going tohelp him.”ESPINOZA SAYS FAMILIARITY WOULD HELP ARROGATE, SMITHVictor Espinoza knows his way around Meydan Racecourse whether the saddle is on properly or not.Last year the Hall of Fame nominee who turns 45 on May 23 piloted California Chrome to victory in the $10 million Dubai World Cup despite riding with a saddle that slipped early on in the mile and a quarter race.Espinoza will be watching from afar Saturday when Arrogate is favored to vanquish 13 rivals in the World Cup under Mike Smith, no stranger to the Meydan course, although he is winless in his lone try in the lucrative event.Espinoza says it helps to have ridden over the course at least once before a race like the World Cup.“Things change,” Espinoza said, reflecting on what a difference a year makes for him. “Last year I won the race; now, I’m watching it. Everything is different about that track except the distance. That’s the same everywhere you ride. In Dubai you’re competing against a lot of different horses and you really don’t know how they’re going to run.“As for me, when I was there, I was just guessing what all the horses and jockeys were going to do. I just did my thing and I think that was best. If a jockey tries to study every single horse in the race, he’s really going to get confused.“I didn’t worry about any other horse or study anything. I just broke out of there and did my thing, but I think it helps a lot if a jockey has at least one race over that surface before the big race. Any other track in the world, it doesn’t matter.“It took me twice to really nail it, but the first race helped me a lot when I won last year. That was a bonus.” TOP NOTCH SHOULD FANCY A MILE ON SUNDAY J. Keith Desormeaux4494620%43%$509,505 Mario Gutierrez104919109%37%$815,888 John Sadler6410121316%55%$636,690 FAMILIARITY BREEDS VICTORY IN DUBAI: ESPINOZA Rafael Bejarano14627242318%51%$1,770,096 Doug O’Neill15620302213%46%$1,715,052 Peter Miller10431221030%61%$1,475,921 FINISH LINES: Stellar Wind, champion three-year-old filly of 2015, worked six furlongs Friday for John Sadler under Victor Espinoza in 1:13 prepping for her 2017 debut in the Apple Blossom Handicap at Oaklawn April 14. She went in company with Mr. Opportunist who was clocked in 1:13.60. “She went good,” Espinoza said of Stellar Wind, two-time conqueror of four-time champion Beholder. “She’s going in the right direction.” . . . There is a single ticket Pick Six Jackpot carryover of $368,689.71 into Friday . . . Martin Garcia, Mario Gutierrez and Gary Stevens ride at Sunland Park in New Mexico Sunday. Joe Talamo was scheduled to ride Kimbear for Eric Kruljac there Sunday, but the trainer had an 11th hour change of heart and is passing the Sunland Derby. The son of Temple City is a late nominee to the Santa Anita Derby . . . What a View, winner of the Grade I Frank E. Kilroe Mile on grass last year, worked four furlongs on the training track Friday in 49.40 for trainer Kenny Black, who was aboard the six-year-old California-bred Vronsky gelding. “It was the best he worked in the three years I’ve had him,” Black said. It was the first breeze for What a View since his crushing head loss to Bal a Bali in this year’s Kilroe on March 11. “I can’t say enough about this turf course,” Black said. “Horses just come out of the grass races here in great shape.” Black said What a View’s next start could either be in Southern California or out of town.
(CLICK HERE, if you are unable to view this video or photo gallery on your mobile device.)SANTA CLARA – It took 5 years and 10 straight losses to the Seattle Seahawks before the 49ers finally beat their NFC West rival again, doing so in overtime Sunday 26-23.The 49ers (4-10) won it on Robbie Gould’s fourth field goal, a 36-yard attempt amid rare rain at Levi’s Stadium, where the Seahawks (8-6) had won all four of their previous visits.“Obviously it means a lot beating Seattle for me,” former …
“If you are building a house in 2019, all of the embodied energy gets burned this year, which means that all of the carbon associated with that embodied energy is going into the atmosphere this year.”—Martin HolladayStill abuzz after our recent Building Science Summit, I’ve recommitted to a rallying cry I haven’t sounded loud enough. I’m not alone in that department. Though the dialogue around embodied carbon is starting to attract more attention, the green building community is still primarily focused on the operations-related environmental impacts of our houses, so efforts are centered around energy efficiency over the carbon emissions associated with residential construction.At the summit, designer/builder Michael Maines talked about The Pretty Good House 2.0; he described Bruce King’s book, The New Carbon Architecture, as his building bible. I ordered a copy immediately and have been thoroughly engrossed ever since. I spoke with Maines about the subject, and during our conversation he mentioned Brian Hayes, owner of Bellwether Craftsmen in Huntington, Vermont. Because Hayes is committed to low-carbon building materials and methods, I called him up to hear his thoughts on this budding movement.Hayes began his career erecting barns and farm buildings before moving into the residential sector. He is an expert timber framer and is Passive House- and CPHC-certified. In other words, he is a craftsman with a conscience. “My motivation for low-carbon, high-performance, natural building is socially and environmentally based,” he says. “It’s just the right thing to do on so many levels. We know better. We know we are doing bad things, and we are doing them because of exploitative economics. I’m not into it.”One of the driving principles behind a low-carbon home is that it should be small. Maines has specified 1000 sq. ft. for one person, 1500 sq. ft. for two, 1750 sq. ft. for three, and 1875 sq. ft. for four. “If it is well designed, people can fit into a lot less square footage than they believe,” Hayes notes. “There’s a whole client education piece to this. We tell them: ‘We can build you a high-performance, natural, healthy building that is going to be durable and sustainable but to get there, we have to reduce square footage.’”Hayes strongly believes the 30-year standard and the code minimums based on it are sorely insufficient, and essentially produce “disposable housing.” He designs and builds homes with a lifespan of 75 to 100 years using roughly 90% natural materials. He cites vapor permeability as critical to a building’s performance, saying it has the biggest impact on durability. Hayes advocates for vapor-open assemblies that can dry in both directions, and says that natural buildings omit the impervious surfaces that result with synthetic materials. He does, however, concede to relying on synthetics for membranes and air-sealing adhesives—because there aren’t any natural alternatives. Pro Clima products (Intello to the inside, Solitex on the exterior) are his current go-to. And 475 High Performance Building Supply is a regular source.Hayes demonstrates the success of his approach by recalling two projects that had him competing with SIP construction, which promises a level of performance Hayes matches. “Our projects met the standard for Efficiency Vermont 2.0. We went up against a SIP assembly with our 2×6 wall, cellulose cavity insulation, and Gutex exterior fiberboard. That’s all plant-based material—except for the membranes,” he says, adding that plant-based building materials exceed petroleum-based systems in terms of durability and performance. They also create a carbon bank that reduces atmospheric carbon counts.Operationally speaking, Hayes’s shop runs on solar energy; he builds modular components as much as possible, which limits vehicle trips back and forth to the site; and five of his employees live in the same town as the shop—the sixth has a 20-mile commute. “Using our shop is our best option for keeping daily emissions down,” Hayes explains, adding that he also uses local sources for timber and siding, thereby cutting shipping emissions. “We are lucky to have just about every material we need right here in Vermont,” he says. “We try to use local wood species for everything, and we trace materials that come from outside Vermont—such as FSC-certified fiberboard and cellulose.”Asked what technologies, if any, he finds useful for building low-carbon homes, Hayes names the Passive House Planning Package (PHPP) and WUFI energy-modeling software. “They are great tools but I think they need to be developed to be user-friendly and a little more available to builders.” However, he questions whether or not further technological advances would be beneficial. “I don’t think we necessarily need more technology,” he explains. “We need more education around the technology we have. And we need to make it standard and regulated—if we do that, then prices will come down, and people will be more familiar, less apprehensive. There will be better executions, better products, and healthier people and buildings.”So, what exactly is a low-carbon house?According to Maines, a low-carbon home should:Be as small as possible—ideally with multi-family or multi-generational occupants.Be PV-ready or include photovoltaic panels. PV-ready means designed, built, and sited in such a way that a reasonably sized photovoltaic array can handle all of the home’s energy needs on an annual basis. (PV panels pay their carbon debt in 2-4 years.)Be simple and durable. Simple shapes are easier to air-seal and insulate. They perform better in harsh weather, and require fewer materials and less maintenance than more complicated buildings. If you need to bring in a structural engineer, your design might be too complicated. Invest in the parts that are hard to change later.Use wood and wood-derived products as construction materials. Just make sure the wood is sustainably harvested—locally, if possible. Otherwise the trees are better left to remove CO2 through photosynthesis. In general, the more materials are processed, the higher their carbon footprint.Use air-source heat pumps. Mini-splits can be efficient to -15°F or below. They are affordable—especially for the sizes needed in a Pretty Good House 2.0—and they are relatively simple to install. For those who can’t stand the look of an appliance on the wall, there are slim-duct, ceiling cassette, and floor-mounted versions. However, the wall-mounted units are the most efficient, so learn to love them. Heat-pump water heaters are a no-brainer for most homes.Invest in the envelope. Insulation and air-sealing should be good enough that heating and cooling systems can be minimal, with indoor air quality and comfort levels that are very high.Be affordable, healthy, responsible, and resilient.Reflect the “KISS” principle (Keep It Simple and Safe). The house should be easy to operate and understand. Owner-proof systems should omit operator influence and/or error.Consider time-tested sensible strategies such as planting deciduous trees to shade the south and west walls (in the cold months, the leaves drop, letting natural light in), cooling with fans and natural convection rather than air conditioners, heating water with a wood stove, and air drying clothes.Be part of a sustainable community. Having access to community solar, jobs, and services nearby minimizes driving and enables the sharing of infrastructure costs. A home in the middle of the woods often comes with a bigger carbon footprint than a community-based home.Hayes says the 1800-sq.-ft. house pictured here meets the great majority of all ten requirements.Additionally, Maines says a low-carbon home should minimize or avoid:Concrete, which contributes 10% of man-made global warming emissions, partly through fuel to heat and move minerals, but 60% from release of carbon dioxide (CO2) from limestone (CaCO3) to get calcium oxide (CaO) for Portland cement.Foam, especially HFC (hydrofluorocarbon)-blown closed-cell spray foam and XPS (extruded polystyrene) rigid insulation. When building a new house there should be no need to use foam above grade.Combustion appliances, especially those that burn fossil fuels.Unhealthy materials.In Hayes’s house, items 1-4 have been addressed, as the structure is slab on grade with frost walls. “This particular home is largely comprised of natural carbon-sequestering materials—wood, wood fiber, and stone,” he says, adding that he is waiting on the results of a pending carbon analysis for this house, as well as another constructed last year.It gives me hope that a few builders, like Hayes, are having their projects analyzed for embodied carbon. Because carbon is the next frontier.-Kiley Jacques is design editor at Fine Homebuilding magazine. If you have a project that might be of interest to our readers, please send a short description and images to [email protected] Photos courtesy of Brian Hayes.For more on embodied carbon:Another Look at Embodied CarbonEmissions by the Construction IndustryAll About Embodied Energy
LEAVE A REPLY Cancel replyLog in to leave a comment Advertisement Brueggergosman, who turns 42 this month, underwent successful open-heart surgery in June 2009 to repair a dissection in her aorta.The singer wrote that she is recovering well from the latest procedure and the love and support from fans has been palpable.“I want to extend that same love to a wonderful warrior of faith (and my surgeon) Dr. Teresa Kieser. By using the longer-lasting method of artery over vein for my double bypass, she has rendered my heart better than I could have ever hoped or prayed for,” she wrote.The operation took five hours to perform on Thursday.Brueggergosman said she is on the mend and able to walk around the nurses station at the hospital.“My appetite for LIFE is stronger than ever and I’m sure my appetite for food won’t be far behind. In the meantime, I’m catching up on ‘Killing Eve’ and taking it suuuuuper easy,” she wrote.“I can’t wait to put this fully-functioning #SuperHeart to good use.”Brueggergosman has also shared her grief over the recent death of her father, Sterling Gosman, a well-known pastor in Nova Scotia.Gosman died June 13 in Kentville, N.S., at the age of 74.His obituary says a funeral will be held July 6 in New Minas, N.S., and a reception will be held the following day in Fredericton. A private burial service will take place at a later date in Fredericton.THE CANADIAN PRESS CALGARY — Canadian opera star Measha Brueggergosman is recovering from heart surgery, and thanking fans for their support.The Fredericton-born, Nova Scotia-based singer said on Facebook that she received the double bypass surgery at Foothills Medical Centre in Calgary.The surgery comes 10 years after undergoing a similar procedure.
WASHINGTON — The World Bank is downgrading its outlook for the global economy this year, citing rising trade tension, weakening manufacturing activity and growing financial stress in emerging-market countries.The anti-poverty agency expects the world economy to grow 2.9 per cent in 2019, down from the 3 per cent it forecast back in June. It would be the second straight year of slowing growth: The global economy expanded 3 per cent last year and 3.1 per cent in 2017.The bank left its forecast for the U.S. economy unchanged at 2.5 per cent this year, down from 2.9 per cent in 2018. It predicts 1.6 per cent growth for the 19 countries that use the euro currency, down from 1.9 per cent last year. For China, the world’s second-biggest economy, it expects 6.2 per cent growth versus 6.5 per cent in 2018.Paul Wiseman, The Associated Press
NEW DELHI: Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal on Sunday claimed that if the BJP forms the next government at the Centre, Narendra Modi will become prime minister of the country forever as there will be no election after the 2019 polls. Kejriwal said he is convinced that if the Modi government wins the 2019 elections then these would be the last elections and they will change the constitution, just as Sakshi Maharaj has claimed.While making the allegations, Kejriwal appealed to the people to ensure the defeat of the saffron party. Also Read – After eight years, businessman arrested for kidnap & murder”Today, every patriot should have only one motive to stop the Modi government from coming back to power again at any cost… if they (BJP) come to power in 2019, he (Modi) will be the prime minister forever,” he said. If Modi becomes the prime minister again, there will be no election in the country, warned Kejriwal. He was speaking at a function to unveil a book “Vada Faramoshi”, a compilation of replies under the Right to Information Act to queries on the Central government’s works. The book was written by Neeraj Kumar, Sanjoy Basu and Shashi Shekhar. Also Read – Two brothers held for snatchingsHe said that the present situation of the country is scary because when a citizen asks questions or raises his voice against the government, he is termed as “anti-national”. Commenting on the recent viral video of a Muslim family being brutally beaten by goons, he said that it is being done in the name of Hindutva although nowhere in Hindu religion is written to beat the Muslims or for that matter anyone. Comparing the situation to the one prevailing in Germany during Hitler’s rule where people were beaten publicly if they raised their voices against Hitler’s regime, he said “we are facing the same conditions in our country today. Minorities are beaten up if they ask any questions about the government and its actions.” The chief minister made the claim referring to the recent incident involving a “brutal” attack on the members of Muslim family in Gurugram, and said the people from minority community were being “beaten up, harassed and murdered today without any fault”. “Today, anyone who questions the Modi government is labelled an ‘anti-national’,” he added. The seven Lok Sabha seats in Delhi will go to polls on May 12.
Clemson Tigers quarterback Deshaun Watson stirred up some mild controversy last week when he declared that he — not Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson, who won this year’s Heisman Trophy — was the best player in all of college football.“I’m the best player in the country,” Watson told reporters on Dec. 19. “That’s how I think. That’s how I feel. You know, people have their own way of voting.”Although Watson won his second straight Davey O’Brien Award as the nation’s most outstanding QB this season, he ended up second behind Jackson in the Heisman voting. And the O’Brien-Heisman split — “best quarterback” vs. “best player” — is pretty much the heart of Watson’s rivalry with Jackson.In the traditional sense of the QB role, Watson was probably a better pure passer than Jackson this season. Watson threw for 524 more yards, had a higher passing efficiency rating (according to the NCAA’s formula) and contributed many more expected points added (EPA) in the air than Jackson did. More to the point, Watson had a vastly superior completion percentage (68 percent to 58 percent), threw fewer of his passes off-target (11 percent vs. 15 percent), and was notably better in the short-to-intermediate passing game. He beat Jackson in Total QBR (81.2 to 76.9) on passes that traveled 15 or fewer yards through the air — plays that accounted for about three-quarters of each QB’s total attempts — and a higher percentage of Watson’s passing yards also came after his receivers caught the ball, a healthy indicator in the type of quick-passing game Clemson employs.As a result of all that controlled passing, Clemson’s aerial attack was more efficient than Louisville’s this year. The Tigers ranked fifth among Power Five conference teams in passing EPA, piling up about 40 percent more expected points per game via the pass than the 12th-ranked Cardinals.Still, Jackson made up the difference as an all-around QB. He generated nearly 70 more yards of total offense per game than Watson, thanks in large part to his mobility — Jackson rushed for an incredible 1,538 yards, the most of any Heisman-winning quarterback ever (as well as the second-most by a 3,000-yard passer).1That is, since at least 2000, which is as far back as Sports-Reference.com’s Play Index can search — but also probably even earlier, since I couldn’t find a season in their earlier data that even came close to matching Jackson’s 2016 output. Watson’s no slouch as a runner — he gained 524 yards on the ground, which ranked 15th among qualified FBS QBs — but Jackson probably had the best dual-threat season in college history. When we factor in Jackson’s huge workload in the running game, he had a slightly better Total QBR than Watson on the season, and he generated about 31 percent more total EPA per game than Watson did.Jackson even had Watson beat in a couple of important passing categories. First, Jackson threw 24 percent fewer interceptions per attempt than Watson did. (Despite his accuracy, Watson has had a problem with picks all year — though his overall game is still so good that it’s hard to say even the picks are a real problem.) And although Watson had the superior overall passing numbers, Jackson had a better year throwing the ball deep. Not only did he do it more — 14 percent of Jackson’s throws traveled at least 25 yards in the air, versus 9 percent for Watson — but he also had a better QBR (77.8 to 71.1) on those long tosses. Watson was more surgical in his deep strikes, with a sterling 8-0 TD-INT ratio on throws of 25 or more yards (Jackson’s mark was a more pedestrian 9-6), but he also spent a significant amount of his time setting up bubble screens with passes at or behind the line of scrimmage. Twenty-seven percent of Watson’s passes were for zero or fewer air yards, compared with 17 percent for Jackson.All told, many of the differences between Jackson and Watson simply come down to the trade-offs a QB makes playing in different offenses. While both teams call their share of zone-read plays, Louisville’s offense asks Jackson to keep the ball and run with it more than Clemson’s does of Watson. (There’s also a school of thought that says this was by design, and that Watson will be unleashed as a runner in the College Football Playoff, so stay tuned.) The Cardinals are a more run-oriented team than the Tigers anyway, and that allows them to exploit defenses for more big plays down the field when Jackson does throw. Clemson, meanwhile, is more set up to control the field through short passing and the selective use of Watson’s running and deep-throwing skills.The big takeaway, then, is that although the two quarterbacks played pretty different styles this season, they both arrived at a similar place in terms of overall production. So the question of who is the nation’s true best player might just boil down to preference: Do you like running QBs who throw a bunch of deep bombs, or do you prefer more pocket-oriented accurate passers who can also run when necessary?If I were starting a team, I’d flip a coin.